Firstly, the scope of the traffic forecast is very important. Therefore, the data, standards, and legislation used as the basis are those effective in real time.
Forecasts are used to assist governments in developing civil aviation on a regular basis and planning airspace and airport infrastructures such as air traffic control, terminal facilities, access roads, runways, taxiways and aprons. In general, forecasting methods can be divided into three categories: quantitative or mathematical analysis, qualitative or judgemental analysis and decision analysis which is a combination of the first two methods. Three forecast spans are identified in this respect: short, medium and long term. The span to be employed may vary depending on the type of application in question. For forecasts of an airport, the airport environment and transportation methods should be evaluated. The population of the region and of the city where the airport is located, any impact of significant developments in the country or airport, the density of the airport, the seasonal features and the airport trend changes should be examined.
The legal basis of the study is specified by the employer within the procurement contract.
This type of study is carried out in accordance with international standards and legislation, taking into consideration the main documents mentioned in the section “Literature and Methodology” in the report. In particular, the estimation methods defined by ICAO Doc 8991-I are taken into account.
The study aims to forecast the aircraft, passenger, baggage and cargo traffic that could be used as a basis in Master Plans.
Naturally, the matters assessed in the study conducted by Haritaevi as the contractor may be taken into account by the Employer in terms of strategic planning and/or business development.
Our studies include, but they are not limited to, the following:
We periodically generate forecasts and publishing them in bulletins on a regular basis.
We create the best and most sustainable operation designs.
We also deal with route tracking evaluated as accepted by the relevant authorities.
Passenger profiles, realization data is important to us.
We delivered our 2017-2037 Traffic Forecasts for Istanbul Sabiha Gökçen International Airport (ISG). The traffic forecast will be used as a basis for master plan studies, and a capacity evaluation will be carried out according to this study. For the long-term study, many subdivisions were investigated. We studied three scenarios: good, moderate and bad scenarios. We assumed that the actual “Moderate Scenario” would comply with our time series and econometric forecasts based on the data series from the last 7 and last 10 years for Turkey and Istanbul.
The goal of traffic forecasts is to predict any future demand for the airport and improve the capacity accordingly. We examine the aviation sectors of different cultures and make predictions for their seasonal structures. Our study for Cape Town International Airport (CPT) is an example of a short-term forecast.